Current Analysis Washington Pushes Turkey Toward "The Red Line" Top Pentagon brass may have doubts about the feasibility of the circulating war plans for Iraq, but George W. Bush's envoys have convinced Turkish decision-makers that a US military operation to overthrow Saddam Hussein's regime is inevitable. An official document recently leaked from Turkish Prime Minister Ertugrul Kurkcu • 6 min read
Current Analysis Universal Jurisdiction No sooner had the dust settled in Gaza following Israel's July 23 assassination of Hamas leader Salah Shehada—an operation that took the lives of 15 civilians, many of them children—than Palestinian officials began declaring this act the first war crime committed since the inauguration of the Laurie King-Irani • 7 min read
Current Analysis The UN Arab Human Development Report With great fanfare and evident satisfaction, the UN Development Program and the Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development in June released the "Arab Human Development Report 2002" (AHDR). The Report, authored by a team of Arab scholars and policymakers with an advisory committee of "well-known A Mark Levine • 8 min read
Current Analysis West Bank Curfews The Israeli F-16 strike early on July 23 that killed Hamas leader Salah Shehada and 15 Palestinian civilians in the crowded Gaza neighborhood of al-Daraj put the roiling Israeli-Palestinian conflict suddenly back in the Western headlines. It is possible, as some Western diplomats have stated to the press, that Israel Adam Hanieh • 7 min read
Current Analysis Peace in Sudan Doubtful With negotiations between the government of Sudan and the rebel Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM) about to break off as both parties consult with their leaderships, UN and US officials express unguarded optimism that a deal can be hammered out to end the longest-running and one of the Dan Connell • 8 min read
Current Analysis Don't Blink On June 26, Jordan's King Abdallah II issued a royal decree pardoning former parliamentarian Toujan Faisal, who had been sentenced on May 16 to 18 months in jail for "seditious libel" and "spreading information deemed harmful to the reputation of the state." Faisal's release "on humanitarian grounds Jillian Schwedler • 8 min read
Current Analysis Musical Chairs in Algeria At first glance, Algeria's national assembly elections might seem to have been a fiasco. Held against a backdrop of continuing violence, with both the notorious Armed Islamic Group and the Salafi Group for Preaching and Combat still pursuing their guerrilla campaigns, popular exasperation at local misgovernment repeatedly erupting Hugh Roberts • 8 min read
Current Analysis Sanctions Renewed on Iraq Concluding almost a year of diplomatic wrangling, the UN Security Council has agreed to revise UN sanctions on Iraq when the eleventh phase of the oil for food program ends on May 29. Under the oil for food program, Iraq is allowed to sell its oil on the world market Sarah J Graham-Brown • 8 min read
Current Analysis The Band Played On On May 8, a bomb blast rocked central Karachi, killing at least 14 people, including a number of French nationals. This suicide bombing comes on the heels of the brutal murder of Daniel Pearl, the Wall Street Journal reporter, allegedly by Islamist extremist groups who had recently fallen out of the Kamran Asdar Ali • 8 min read
Current Analysis Jordan's King Abdallah in Washington King Abdallah of Jordan came to his May 8 White House meeting with George W. Bush painfully aware of the pressures and contradictions threatening his regime's delicate position. After gambling more heavily than any other Arab state on peace with Israel and the liberalization of the Middle East, Marc Lynch • 7 min read
Current Analysis Bleak Horizons After Operation Defensive Wall On April 28, both Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon and Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat accepted an American proposal whereby US and British security personnel will be dispatched to Jericho to supervise the imprisonment of six Palestinians besieged with Arafat in what remains of the Ramallah governorate. Barring last-minute surprises, the Mouin Rabbani • 9 min read
Current Analysis Fears of a Second Front On March 30, Hizballah attacked several Israeli army outposts in the Shebaa Farms, a disputed strip of mountainous territory running along Lebanon's southeast border with the Golan Heights, in the first such attack since mid-January. Sayyid Hasan Nasrallah, Hizballah's secretary-general, reportedly authorized preparations for stepped-up operations Nicholas Blanford • 10 min read
