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International Election
Monitoring: A Critique Based on One Monitor's Experience in Morocco
Henry Munson Jr.
Since
the early 1980s, countless teams of "international observers"
have monitored elections in countries ostensibly becoming more democratic.
Most monitors typically arrive shortly before voting begins and
leave shortly after it ends. Foreign election observers usually
visit only a small fraction of the polling sites and electoral districts.
The capital and easily accessible cities tend to receive more attention
than the countryside.
Most foreign
observers know little about the political context of the elections
they are observing. Too often they focus on the technical mechanics
of elections while ignoring basic questions such as the role of
voting in any real distribution of power. To term a technically
flawless election to a parliament lacking effective power "free
and fair" is misleading.
Most foreign
elections observers do not know the language in which elections
are conducted, and are thus dependent either on translators provided
by the local government, or on conversations with people who speak
their language. The linguistic problem is acute when foreign observers
cannot read ballots and voting tallies.
Given most
observers' lack of linguistic and political knowledge of the countries
to which they are sent, one must ask what elections observation
missions intend to accomplish. What is the real purpose of international
observer missions? Is it to provide an honest evaluation, or to
portray an election in accordance with the political agenda of the
government and/or organization that is paying the mission's bills?
I do not wish
to suggest that international elections' monitoring is futile. In
practice, however, monitoring often resembles political theater
more than a serious attempt to evaluate an election. In an effort
to render elections monitoring more effective and useful, I would
like to suggest the adoption of several guidelines to avoid the
problems I encountered as a member of a mission that monitored the
Moroccan parliamentary elections of June 25, 1993. I was part of
a delegation organized by the International Foundation for Electoral
Systems (IFES), a private foundation established in 1987 and funded
by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID).1
Monitoring
the 1993 Elections in Morocco
I was one
of four (IFES) monitors who arrived in Rabat, Morocco on June 9,
1993 and stayed until June 28 or 29, that is, three or four days
after election day on June 25. Ten "observers" joined
us from June 19 through June 28 or 29. (Although the terms "monitor"
and "observer" are sometimes used interchangeably, the
former is in principle someone who spends more time studying and
analyzing an election than an observer.)
Most of the
members of the IFES delegation could not read Arabic. Since Moroccan
ballots and voting tallies are all written in Arabic, this would
have presented a serious problem if IFES had insisted (as it should
have) that monitors and observers actually observe the counting
of votes and then compare the vote tallies at polling sites with
the results officially announced by the Ministry of the Interior.
The final
IFES report stated that the team "observed the voting in over
220 polling stations out of approximately 50,000, representing 124,000
electors, 1.1 percent of Morocco's registered voting population."2
Even these numbers exaggerate how much the IFES team actually saw
because in most cases, observers spent very little time in each
polling site.
Local Vote
Tallies and Official Results
At least some
of the inevitable problems confronting election observer missions
like IFES's could be mitigated, if not remedied entirely. In Morocco,
every political party has the right to station its own observer
in polling sites where its candidates are standing for election.
These observers are entitled to watch the vote count in their assigned
polling site. They are also entitled, by law, to a copy of the official
vote tally, known in Morocco as a taqrir 'an al-'amaliyat al-intikhabiya
(report on electoral operations). (The IFES report on the Moroccan
elections of 1993 refers to these documents as "polling station
minutes.")
A copy of
this official vote tally is supposed to be given to all poll-watchers
representing the candidates and parties running in the district
in question. Given that party poll-watchers are stationed, in principle,
in every polling site in Morocco, international observers, who cannot
possibly cover all electoral districts, could compare the results
as recorded in the official vote tallies given to the poll watchers
of the various parties with the official results announced by the
government. This would be a simple and effective way of utilizing
the work of domestic poll-watchers and overcoming at least some
of the logistical and linguistic problems that routinely beset international
observer delegations. No one at IFES, however, suggested that this
be done in Morocco in 1993. I was the only member of the IFES delegation
to obtain copies of any official vote tallies.
One reason
international observer delegations do not tend to rely on domestic
observers is to avoid the perception or the reality of bias. International
delegations could circumvent charges of bias by examining the vote
tallies collected by observers from all political parties. In the
Moroccan case, however, not all parties placed observers in all
polling sites. The major opposition parties, the Islamic reformist
Istiqlal (Independence) and the social democratic al-Ittihad
al-Ishtiraki lil-Quwat al-Sha'biyya (Socialist Union of Popular
Forces), which ran a joint slate of candidates in 1993, always had
competent poll-watchers in the polling stations I visited. The poll-watchers
from the parties created by the government often had trouble even
remembering the name of the candidate and party they were ostensibly
representing.
During the
1993 election, in the electoral district of al-Hayy al-Hassani
in Casablanca, which contained 190 polling sites, the poll watchers
representing Muhammad Karam, candidate of the joint Istiqlal/al-Ittihad
al-Ishtiraki alliance, were able to obtain only 18 of the 190
official vote tallies to which they were legally entitled. Some
of these 18 tallies were only obtained after I asked why poll-watchers
had not received them. All of the vote counts showed Karam winning
by a wide margin (as did the tallies an American diplomat and I
observed ourselves). Nonetheless, the candidate supported by the
government was ultimately declared the official winner.3
One might
well ask why comparing official vote tallies with official results
is useful if, in Morocco at least, the government often simply refuses
to give them to poll-watchers. To begin with, the very fact that
a government refuses to hand over official local vote tallies is
itself a useful warning that it may be falsifying election results.
This was clearly the case in Morocco in 1993 and 1997.4
If a government
knew that foreign observers were going to compare the voting tallies
given to poll-watchers (from domestic human rights groups as well
as political parties) with official results, this would presumably
influence the conduct of elections. If this practice were to become
the rule, it would at least represent significant progress over
much of the impressionistic and empirically unfounded statements
foreign observers often make about elections.
More generally,
missions must make greater use of the expertise of local as well
as international human rights groups. Some electoral reports by
IFES and similar groups tend to ignore or downplay the significance
of the well-documented reports by human rights groups, which provide
valuable and revealing details of the political atmosphere surrounding
elections. This brings us back to the crucial issue of the political
context in which observer delegations function.
Honest Evaluation
or Whitewash?
In September
1993, I received a preliminary version of the IFES report on the
Moroccan parliamentary elections of June 25, 1993. The following
statement appeared on page five of this draft report:
Consideration
of the elections in the local/regional context calls for comparison
of the June 25 elections to Morocco's previous elections and to
elections elsewhere in the region such as the recent Algerian elections.
From this standpoint, the June 25 elections can be considered as
an indication of Morocco's continued democratic progress.
This statement
indicated that IFES was determined to portray the June 25 elections
positively, even if this meant ignoring or downplaying much of the
evidence of fraud that I had gathered. The comparison with the Algerian
parliamentary elections of 1991 was especially preposterous since
these were genuinely contested elections involving the distribution
of real power. The results of Moroccan parliamentary elections, by
contrast, are determined by King Hassan II long before a single vote
is cast and involve the election of a parliament that has no power.
Elsewhere
in the preliminary version of the IFES report the following statement
appeared:
Contacts
made by the IFES team...generally indicate that although Morocco's
election processes leave much to be desired, they have been steadily
improving and probably will continue to do so. The general consensus
among this group is that elections are not mechanisms of fundamental
change in Morocco because the Palace wields ultimate power. Regardless,
the people are gradually gaining more voice in national affairs.
While this statement
at least acknowledges that King Hassan II retains all real power,
it falsely suggests a "consensus" among members of the delegation
that Morocco was making real progress toward democratization in 1993.
No such consensus existed. Two members of the delegation, Professor
John Entelis of Fordham University and a man I shall refer to as "Mr.
X," did indeed take this position. But others did not.
Probably the
most knowledgeable and best-qualified member of the IFES delegation
was Raqya Humeidan, a Yemeni lawyer involved in the administration
of the Yemeni elections of 1993. At one meeting in Rabat, she stated
quite bluntly that the Moroccan elections of 1993 were a charade
and that we were wasting our time monitoring them. That statement,
and many similar ones by other observers, did not appear in the
IFES report.
Disturbed
by the relatively positive spin the preliminary version of the IFES
report tried to put on the 1993 elections, I contacted some Moroccan
friends and encouraged them to publish my own report on the elections.
Soon thereafter, my report appeared in slightly abbreviated form
in the Moroccan newspaper Al-Ittihad al-Ishtiraki on September
5, 1993, causing more than a little heartburn in Rabat.
One of my
fellow monitors in Morocco, the man I have called "Mr. X,"
phoned me when he learned that my report had been published and
berated me for "unethical" behavior. Mr. X owns a consulting
firm in Washington. He admitted to me that he had joined the IFES
delegation in Morocco primarily as a means of reinforcing his already
cordial relationship with the Moroccan ambassador to the United
States and encouraging the Moroccan government to invest in a program
he was involved with in Utah. Mr. X did not appear to see anything
"unethical" in this. I should also note that this Mr.
X routinely referred to the Moroccan government as "fascist"
in his private conversations with me. Only in public meetings did
he feel compelled to speak of Morocco's great progress toward democracy.
Conclusion
International
election monitoring can be a very useful tool. Too often, however,
it is a charade. Organizations involved in election monitoring must
ensure that their reports are not tailored to conform to the policies
of their funding sources. International organizations should also
work more closely with local groups, notably human rights groups
and international human rights organizations. Such collaboration
is essential to compensate for the short time observers usually
spend in the country where elections are being held and for their
usual inability to speak or read the local language. It is true
that the issue of bias, with respect to both domestic and international
observers, is real. One way to limit it is to work with groups of
various ideological orientations and to insist on evidence to support
allegations of fraud as well as evidence to support assertions that
elections are "free and fair."
Related to
this need for cooperation with local groups is the need for empirically
based evaluations of elections. Obtaining copies of official vote
tallies from local polling sites and comparing them with the officially
announced national results is one way to assess the accuracy of
the latter. Polling site vote tallies, signed by the officials in
charge of the polling site in the presence of domestic observers,
are precisely the kind of hard evidence that is needed. Greater
reliance on such tools would enable observers to transcend the superficial
and empirically baseless assertions of fairness or fraud that are
often found in monitoring delegations' reports.
International
election monitoring will never be perfect. But it can--and should--be
much more effective than it is now.
Henry Munson
Jr. is professor of anthropology at the University of Maine.
He is the author of Religion and Power in Morocco.
Endnotes
1 Thomas
C. Bayer, "Morocco, Direct Legislative Elections, June 25,
1993: Report of the IFES Monitoring and Observation Delegations."
(Washington, DC: International Foundation for Electoral Systems,
1993).
2 Bayer,
"Morocco," page 2.
3 See
Henry Munson, "Intikhabat 25 yunyu ja'at aqall sufuran fi'l-tazwir
min al-intikhabat al-sabiqa lakinaha ma'a dhalik lam taken naziha,"
Al-Ittihad al-Ishtiraki, Sept. 5, 1993; idem, "H. Munson,
observateur, persiste et signe," Libération (the
Moroccan newspaper, not the French one), Jan. 18, 1994; idem, "Les
Elections de 1993 et la démocratisation au Maroc,"
Cahiers Pédagogiques de l'ICN, No. 27 (March 1998);
idem, "The Elections of 1993 and Democratization in Morocco,"
in Representations of Power in Morocco, ed. Rahma Bourqia
and Susan G. Miller (Cambridge: Harvard University, Center for Middle
Eastern Studies, forthcoming).
4 The
falsification of the communal elections of June 13 and the legislative
elections of November 14, 1997 was well documented in the opposition
press and in the independent newspaper Le Maroc-hebdo, which
is on line (www.maroc-hebdo.press.ma). See also Fatiha Layadi and
Narjis Rehaye, Maroc: Chronique d'une démocratie en devenir
(Casablanca: Editions Eddif, 1998); Ruqayyah Musaddaq, La Réforme
constitutionelle et les illusions consensuelles (Casablanca:
Najah El Jadida, 1998); Abu Zayd al-Muqri' Idrisi, Halat istithna'
fi'l intikhabat al-barlamaniyah: hikayat ma jadda fi madinat Wajdah
(Casablanca: al-Rayah, 1997).
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