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FROM
THE ARCHIVE
Middle East Report 183 (July-August 1993)
Egypt’s
Islamists and the State: From Complicity to Confrontation
Ahmed Abdalla
Ahmed
Abdalla is the author of The
Student Movement and National Politics in Egypt (London:
Saqi Books, 1985), and editor of The Army and Democracy
in Egypt [Arabic] (Cairo, 1990) and Egyptian History:
Between the Scientific Approach and Party Politics [Arabic]
(Cairo, 1988).
It has been
20 years since the Egyptian state first unleashed the Islamists
against the left. Today the Islamic upsurge has taken on dimensions
far beyond state manipulation. The mid-term confrontation, marked
by the assassination of Anwar al-Sadat in 1981, ended in a draw.
Now, more than a decade later, the battle rages more fiercely
than before. Violence, and not just “Islamic”
violence, now characterizes the temperament of this supposedly
placid nation.[1] In
the general atmosphere of state violence and citizen violence,
Islamist terrorists are no strangers. When ordinary citizens rioted
in 1992 against the authorities in Edku and Abu Hammad in the Delta
(where things are generally calmer than in Upper Egypt), no Islamists
were involved.[2] The
riot was a spontaneous reaction against police brutality. A similar
dynamic almost recurred in Cairo itself, in novelist Naguib Mahfouz’s
favorite Gamaliyya district.
The Egyptian
state is now paying for its belated action against the Islamists,
not to mention its earlier complicity. Deferring confrontation
was an instinctual tradeoff, not a carefully thought-out state
policy. The government turned a blind eye to grassroots state
power. In return, the Islamists did not confront state corruption
and inefficiency, especially in Upper Egypt.
When the
state finally decided to act, was it a simple reaction to armed
terrorism? The main confrontation in late 1992 and early 1993
was triggered by selective assassinations of “state security” officials
for their role in torturing and killing Islamists. Former and
incumbent interior ministers were the top targets. But the state
endured this, as it had the killing of 13 Christians in Dayrut
in May 1991. The change of policy was less a response to terrorism
than to non-violent, but threatening political challenges posed
by the Islamists.
Among these
challenges were Islamist successes in local elections. The regime,
furthermore, together with its right and left allies, lost the
elections for the governing council of the Bar Association, long
a liberal bastion. Sheikh Jabir, the leader of Cairo’s “Islamic
Republic of Imbaba,” held an international press conference
in which he mocked the government’s lack of power in what
he referred to as his domain. The final straw was the challenge
posed by the terrorist attacks on foreign tourists.[3]
The state
executed its crackdown in a manner that will prove counterproductive
in the long run—and even in the short run.[4] When President Husni Mubarak proclaimed at the
Cairo Book Fair in January 1993 that he was trying to spare Egypt
the fate of Algeria, he seemed oblivious to the possibility that
his approach might lead to an Iranian scenario. His regime spares
no effort to antagonize the masses and alienate the elite.
Ordinary
Egyptians already endure economic crisis and structural adjustment.
They require no further harassment in the form of increasing
police brutality. While few Egyptians have real sympathy for
terrorism, especially those who suffer from the loss of tourist
revenues in Upper Egypt, they still hate the police. One journalist
warned that without citizen involvement the confrontation appears
to be one between the police “family” and the terrorist “family.”[5] Be
it in Imbaba or in Asyut, citizens are caught in a crossfire.[6] In
the Aswan massacre, eight citizens—not terrorists—were
killed at prayer time in al-Rahma mosque on March 10.[7] The
savage torture of arrested Islamists, terrorist and non-terrorist
alike, sustains their logic of violence in the eyes of some spectators.[8] Journalists and intellectuals keep advising
the government about the insufficiency of the “security
solution,” not to mention its excesses.[9]
Indiscriminate
Attacks
What is more
serious is the indiscriminate targeting of all Islamists.[10] The
government capitalized on the support it got from both right
and left. Al-Wafd, supposedly the premier liberal newspaper
in the Arab world, applied a blackout on human rights violations
when it came to Islamists. The secretary-general of the leftist
Tagammu‘ party, Rif‘at al-Sa‘id, emphasized
the sectarianism of the Islamists (citing their harassment of
Christians). He called them muta’aslimun (pretenders),
denying them any integrity and refusing to distinguish between
moderates and extremists.[11] An
indiscriminate vocabulary has characterized both the government
and opposition press, except the Socialist Labor Party’s
neo-Islamist al-Sha‘b.
More significantly,
the government began harassing the Labor Party and the Muslim
Brotherhood, thus homogenizing the Islamist movement despite
its many factions. This is not learning from history. After failing
to defeat the Brotherhood at the ballot box in professional associations,
especially the Bar Association, the government unilaterally imposed
a new legal structure on union and syndicate elections. This
episode was a declaration of political bankruptcy. The new election
law was hastily promulgated, literally within 24 hours. It stipulates
that, to be valid, union and syndicate elections require a quorum
of one half of all voting members. This requirement does not
exist for—and has never been achieved in—national
elections for members of Parliament or for the president of the
republic. The statute, officially called the “Law of Democratic
Guarantees for Professional Unions,” was instantly nicknamed
the “Law of Nationalization of Unions,” contrasting
it with the privatization campaign underway in the economy.
The reaction
in the unions themselves, especially the Engineers’ Union,
whose general assembly meeting coincided with the promulgation
of the law, was clearly hostile to the government. Inadvertently,
the government catapulted the Muslim Brotherhood to the forefront
of the opposition. The Brothers responded tactfully—meeting
with the prime minister to discuss a compromise, taking the case
to court, and calming the outraged union rank and file.[12] This
reflected their intention to avoid a major confrontation with
the authorities, as they sensed that a wave of repression was
underway.
The government
also exacerbated tensions within the Socialist Labor Party, instigating
a splinter group to hold a conference, oust the party leadership
and halt the publication of al-Sha‘b.[13] This
attempt was thwarted by the speedy mobilization of party members,
including opposition figures who rejected government manipulation
on principle.[14] The
government, at the last minute, also acted with restraint (perhaps
as a result of some external advice). Thanks to government miscalculation
and misdeeds, the Socialist Labor Party, which got some 8 percent
of the electoral vote in 1984 and some 18 percent jointly with
the Muslim Brotherhood as the Islamic Alliance in 1987, is becoming
a pole of power for a radical but non-violent Islamist alternative
in Egypt. If free elections were held now, a repetition of the
Algerian episode would be a serious prospect. Secular intellectuals
shrug off this possibility, as they did in Algeria prior to the
election results there.
In an effort
to check the pan-Islamist connections of the Socialist Labor
Party, the government introduced changes into the political parties
law. It made permission from the Parties Commission (dominated
by ruling party elements) a prerequisite for international activities
of political parties, which also have to report back to the commission
after the fact. Further, it prohibited parties whose application
for license is pending from engaging in activities—hitherto
they had been allowed to act until a license was denied. In effect,
the regime is driving underground those who want to act above
ground!
To prove
its firmness against terrorism, but at the cost of alienating
the judiciary, Mubarak’s government last October decreed
that accused Islamists would henceforth be tried in military
courts. In a speedy show trial in Alexandria in early December,
a military court sentenced eight Islamists to death and passed
harsh prison sentences on 30 others.[15] The ruling was overturned by
the Administrative Court, whose chief judge, Tariq al-Bishri,
was then attacked personally by government cronies in the press
and in Parliament; the dispute is now in the hands of the Constitutional
Court. Another case of some 50 Islamists accused of attacking
tourists was tried in a Cairo military court in mid-April.
To defuse
the Islamist trend, the government is reducing the religious
content in the media and diluting sectarianism in the schools.
Even though this policy may be long overdue, some have voiced
doubt about its sudden application.[16] When
the education minister dismissed a teacher and her four students
for having played a tape in the classroom denigrating Christians,
riots broke out in the city of Qalyub (in the Delta, near Cairo).[17] The
minister had to reinstate them, all the while denying he was
succumbing to pressure.[18]
The intellectual
monologue “against terrorism” at the Cairo Book Fair
in January only proved how far secular intellectuals of the right
and left are ready to play into the hands of the government.[19] The exception was labor lawyer Nabil al-Hilali,
who vehemently criticized state terrorism when he was invited—perhaps
inadvertently—to speak there.[20]
The Third
Way
Is it too
late? Are we witnessing the runup to an Islamist takeover or
a military takeover? Can the system absorb it all?
No illusions
should prevail about the legitimacy or capabilities of the present
system, beyond its ability to rig elections and deploy troops.
The Shah had similar capabilities. The capacity to surround terrorists
and destroy them is no real accomplishment. The power of the
terrorists is their ability to expose the weakness of the system,
weakness that lies outside the police and security forces. It
lies in the regime’s inability to win clean elections,
in its refusal to share power even with its supporters. The same
people hold power indefinitely. The president himself is presently
preparing for a third six-year term. Corruption in Egypt has
reached unprecedented levels—one critic, from within the
establishment, has called it “unbridled.”[21]
The regime’s
ability to incorporate the younger generation in Egypt’s
political economy is at its lowest point. What they get is poor-quality
education, which they have to pay for even though it is nominally
free. After graduation, they join the ranks of some three million
unemployed. They find it difficult to marry, since housing is
not available except for the rich. Their alienation makes them
eager to leave the country, and receptive to rebellious indoctrination.
The Islamist extremists may not all themselves be unemployed,
but unemployment feeds a general atmosphere of disappointment
upon which fanaticism feeds. The terrorists of today were around
10 years old when Anwar al-Sadat was assassinated. Not only has
the regime failed to resolve the state-Islamist confrontation
in its bloodiest form, but the pace of recruiting the young to
violence has speeded up.
The way out
is obvious. The present polarization can only be broken through
a massive reform program. At the political level this means ending
the monopoly of power, changing the constitution, having elections
for president and not just yes-or-no referenda. A pluralistic
parliament is not hard to imagine; there are 440 seats, enough
to accommodate the entire range of political forces in the country.
Conduct local elections, leave the unions and professional associations
alone, and, most importantly, incorporate the bulk of Islamists
into the system by legalizing a non-violent Islamist party (the
Muslim Brotherhood is the obvious choice).
To raise
morale, and morality, mount a serious campaign against corruption.
Some present cabinet ministers are obvious candidates to stand
trial. This is a prerequisite.[22] Cleaning
up the ruling party can pave the way for a coalition government,
including moderate Islamists. This would set the course for expanding
employment opportunities for the young.
Only after
putting its house in order can Egypt play a regional role commensurate
with its potential: contributing to resolving the problem of
Palestine and settling its differences with Iran and Sudan to
reduce regional tensions.
There is
no alternative if Egypt is to avoid the Hobson’s choice
of Islamicization by the Algerian model or the Iranian model.
The Egyptian third way should be one of reform and reconciliation.
Continuous confrontation, civilian disintegration and military
intervention will only make things more difficult. Egypt’s
concerned friends might remind the present rulers in Cairo of
the price of retarded change.
Endnotes
[1] There
was, for example, the incident of a child burned alive in a neighborhood
quarrel in Cairo. Al-Ahram, January 1, 1993.
[2] See al-Sha‘b,
October 2, 1992.
[3] See
Salah al-Din Hafiz,
“The Rise and Fall of the State of Imbaba,” al-Ahram,
December 16, 1992.
[4] For
an informative account of the present confrontation, see Hisham
Mubarak, “Scorched-Earth Policy,” al-Yasar (April
1993).
[5] Nabil ‘Umar, “Asyut
Unveils the Mask of Fear,” al-Ahram, March 25, 1993.
[6] Note
the excesses of the police in the Imbaba siege and cleansing
operation. See the report of the Egyptian Organization for Human
Rights, March 20, 1993.
[7] Al-Sha‘b,
March 16, 1993, and al-Ahali, March 17, 1993.
[8] See “That
Is How a Cairo University Teacher Was Tortured,” al-Sha‘b,
February 2, 1993.
[9] A
young woman was beaten up at a police station in Cairo. She turned
out to be the daughter of a prominent psychiatrist, and her uncle
happened to be the second most senior official of the Cairo police!
No one seems to be spared. See Muhammad Shaaban, “The Silent
Majority,” al-Sha‘b, April 2, 1993. A senior
police “intellectual”
(general and Ph.D.) advised that terrorism should be treated as
a crime per se without apologetic reference to its social foundations.
Ahmad Galal ‘Izz al-Din, “The Question of Terrorism
and the Approach,” al-Ahram, March 13, 1993.
[10] Fahmi
Huwaydi, “Political Thinking!” al-Ahram, March
2, 1993.
[11] See
his radio debate with Rashid al-Ghannushi of Tunisia in al-Ahali,
November 18, 1992.
[12] See
Midhat al-Zahid,
“Half Victory, Half Defeat,” al-Yasar (April
1993).
[13] Akhbar
al-Yawm, February 20, 1993.
[14] Mustafa
Amin called it a “crime of hope.” Akhbar al-Yawm,
February 20, 1993.
[15] Al-Ahram,
December 4, 1992.
[16] See
Fahmi Huwaydi in al-Ahram, February 2, 1993, and March
16, 1993.
[17] Al-Ahram,
March 9 and 15, 1993.
[18] Al-Ahram,
March 19 and 27, 1993.
[19] For
a liberal critique of acquiescent liberals, see Ayman Nour, “Liberal
Forces and the Crisis of Egyptian Reality,” al-Wafd,
February 17, 1993.
[20] For
another leftist critique of government, see Muhammad Rida Muharram, “You
Cannot Cheat Everybody,” al-Ahali, February 10,
1993. See also his “Pushing in the Wrong Direction,” al-Ahali,
December 23, 1992.
[21] Tahsin
Bashir, “An Open Letter to President Mubarak,” al-Wafd,
September 3, 1992.
[22] The
alternative would be a “safe passage” abroad, as
suggested by Ibrahim Dessouki Abaza in al-Wafd, February
25, 1993.
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